After Tropical Storm Chantal made landfall in South Carolina over the Fourth of July weekend bringing flash flooding to central North Carolina, the tropics are now quiet. Well, sort of.

There is now a 60 percent chance that a tropical depression forms near the United States this Independence Day weekend, but those along the Gulf Coast can breathe easier for now. The National Hurricane Center has shifted where forecasters think the disturbance will form from the Gulf to the southwestern Atlantic, off the Southeast coast.

The National Hurricane Center is keeping track of a weather system that could form off one of Florida’s coasts this weekend that could develop into the season’s next tropical