Madness selection committee may have installed the Auburn Tigers as the No. 1 overall seed, but oddsmakers have the Duke Blue Devils favored to cut down the nets — even with Cooper Flagg’s injury status up in the air after hurting his ankle last week in the ACC tournament.

Duke’s current efficiency is 38.15, the nation’s highest since the 2001 Blue Devils ended the season, with an NCAA championship, at 37.32. The only team with a higher KenPom efficiency at time of the year? Duke’s 1999 team that went 37-2 and finished with a 43.01 efficiency.

Michigan State Spartans are built different, and that might be what catapults them to the 2025 National Championship