The forecast is a sharp step up from the prior projection of 2.8%. Moreover, it is much higher than the 2.7% Fed officials estimated.

Peter Gratton, Ph.D., is a New Orleans-based editor and professor with over 20 years of experience in investing, economics, and public policy. Peter began covering markets at Multex (Reuters) and has ...

For the first two months of 2026, the global market narrative was relatively straightforward: Inflation was cooling, and major central banks across the globe were cutting interest rates. Loosening ...

Australian Treasurer warns of inflation risks from the Middle East conflict. ECB 50 bps rate cut in April at 0.3% YES.

IMFBlog is a forum for the views of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) staff and officials on pressing economic and policy ...

As always, there is plenty of noise about the potential for short-term inflation from tariffs, fiscal stimulus from tax cuts, and deficit spending from various governments around the world. But the ...

Global bond markets fell on Monday as an oil price shock prompted investors to price in higher inflation and a deteriorating economic growth outlook. Yields on benchmark 10-year US Treasuries rose ...

Israel's annual ⁠inflation ⁠rate moved back below 2% ⁠in March but the decline will likely have little impact ​on near-term ...

U.S. mortgage rates fell for the third straight week, with the 30-year fixed rate dropping to 6.23%, its lowest level since ...